IBOPE Inteligência Poll: 57% Support Obama on Iraq Withdrawal; His Job Performance on Terror Up 12 from Year Ago

Plurality Say Aide to Libya Rebels Was Justified

UTICA, NY--A comprehensive IBOPE Inteligência interactive poll on foreign and military policy finds President Barack Obama with increased approval from a year ago among likely voters, as well as majority backing for his troop withdrawal plan in Iraq and plurality support for aid given to Libya rebels who overthrew the Gaddafi regime.

These results are from an Oct. 28-31 IBOPE Inteligência interactive poll.

The poll finds 54% saying the decision to go to war in Iraq was not justified. It also shows majorities are concerned about possible negative outcomes happening after withdrawal from Iraq and the revolution in Libya.

Those opposed to Obamas decision on pulling troops from Iraq by years end are most likely to cite distrust of the President (70%) as a reason why.

On Afghanistan, 59% say a recent statement by President Hamid Karzai on his support for Pakistan over the U.S. causes them to favor a speedier U.S. troop departure than currently planned.

The poll asks likely voters to rate Obama's job performance on foreign policy, the Iraq War and the war on terrorism on a scale of excellent, good, fair and poor. We last asked these questions on Aug. 10, 2010.

President Obama's job performance on foreign policy.

Response	Oct. 31 2011	Aug. 10 2010
Excellent + Good	41%	40%
Fair	16%	14%
Poor	41%	45%
Not sure	2%	1%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

President Obama's job performance on the Iraq War.

Response	Oct. 31 2011	Aug. 10 2010
Excellent + Good	42%	32%
Fair	21%	34%
Poor	35%	33%
Not sure	3%	2%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

President Obama's job performance on the war on terrorism.

Response	Oct. 31 2011	Aug. 10 2010
Excellent + Good	49%	37%
Fair	25%	17%
Poor	25%	42%
Not sure	1%	4%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Do you support or oppose President Obama's decision to withdraw all U.S. troops in Iraq by the end of this year?

Response	All Voters	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
Support	57%	90%	21%	53%
Oppose	31%	6%	61%	31%
Not Sure	12%	4%	18%	16%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Which of these are reasons why you oppose President Obama's decision to withdraw all U.S. troops in Iraq by the end of this year? Choose all that apply. (Asked only of those who oppose Obama's decision)

Reason	%
There should be no additional troop withdrawals from Iraq at this time.	14%
Troops should be withdrawn, but on a slower timeframe.	48%
I dont trust President Obama to make good decisions on national security matters.	70%
Other	7%
Not sure	1%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

How likely do you believe it is that withdrawal of all U.S. troops will allow insurgents to undermine the Iraqi government and cause increased violence in that region?

Response	%
Likely (Very + Somewhat)	71%
Unlikely (Somewhat + Very)	21%
Not sure	9%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

How concerned are you that now that U.S. troops will be withdrawn, Iran will gain increased influence in Iraq and the region?

Response	%
Very or somewhat concerned	66%
Not very or not at all concerned	29%
Not sure	5%

Looking back at the decision to go to war in Iraq, do you believe that decision was justified?

Response	All Voters	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
Yes	35%	9%	70%	31%
No	54%	85%	16%	55%
Not Sure	11%	6%	14%	15%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Do you believe that U.S. military assistance provided to Libyan rebels was justified?

Response	All Voters	Democrats	Republicans	Independents
Yes	46%	71%	27%	35%
No	37%	13%	54%	48%
Not Sure	17%	16%	19%	17%

Which of these outcomes do you believe is more likely now that Libyan rebels have overthrown the regime of Moammar Gadhafi and killed him?

Response	%
The new Libyan government will be friendlier to the U.S. than was the Gadhafi regime.	22%
The new Libyan government will be heavily influenced by extremists who oppose the U.S.	45%
Neither	11%
Not sure	22%

If it is proven that Libyan rebels executed Moammar Gadhafi, do you believe those directly responsible should be prosecuted by the Libyan government?

Response	All Voters
Yes	22%
No	51%
Not Sure	27%

Afghan president Hamid Karzai recently stated that: "If fighting starts between Pakistan and the U.S., we are beside Pakistan. If Pakistan is attacked and the people of Pakistan need Afghanistan's help, Afghanistan will be there with you."

Does Karzai's statement cause you to want U.S. troops withdrawn from Afghanistan even more quickly than is currently planned?

Response	All Voters
Yes	59%
No	25%
Not Sure	16%

IBOPE Inteligência conducted an online survey of 2,144 U.S. likely voters. A sampling of IBOPE Inteligência's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.

For more information, contact the Communications Dept--202-429-0022

ABOUT IBOPE Inteligência

IBOPE Inteligência is a non-partisan, premier global public opinion polling and market research firm that offers timely, accurate results and in-depth analysis and insights. IBOPE Inteligência works with issue experts in a vast array of fields including healthcare, technology, finance, insurance, energy, agriculture, public affairs, and media who offer insightful data analysis and exceptional service to clients in countries throughout the world. IBOPE Inteligência experts analyze data and work with clients to develop and implement new strategies, and offer customized and attractive solutions to challenges our clients face. IBOPE Inteligência was formed in January 2010 following the acquisition of Zogby International by IBOPE Inteligencia of Brazil, a subsidiary of IBOPE Group.

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About IBOPE Group

IBOPE Group is a Brazilian multinational company specializing in media, market and opinion research with offices in the United States and 14 Latin American countries. Since its founding 68 years ago, it has been providing a wide range of information and studies on media, public opinion, voting patterns, consumption habits, branding and market behavior.

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