IBOPE Inteligência Poll: Cain Expands Lead Over GOP Field & Leads Obama, 46%-44%
Obama Approval Steady at 41%
UTICA, NY--Herman Cain has opened up a 20 percentage point lead among likely Republican primary voters in the race for the Presidential nomination, and also holds a narrow lead among all likely voters over President Barack Obama.
Cains share of the GOP primary has jumped 10 percentage points since Sept. 26 and is now at 38%. Mitt Romney is second with 18%, followed by both Rick Perry and Ron Paul, at 12% each.
The Oct. 3-5 IBOPE Inteligência interactive poll also matches Cain, Romney and Perry against Obama. Cain led Obama, 46%-44%, while Obama is one-point ahead of Romney, 41%-40%, and leads Perry, 45%-40%.
As for President Barack Obama, both his job approval (41%) and the percentage who believe he deserves re-election (38%) are virtually unchanged from recent polls.
Republican Candidates (asked only of the party's primary voters)
If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
|
Candidate |
Oct 5 |
Sept 26 |
Sept 12 |
Aug 29 |
July 25 |
July 11 |
June 30 |
|
Herman Cain |
38% |
28% |
12% |
8% |
18% |
16% |
15% |
|
Mitt Romney |
18% |
17% |
14% |
12% |
17% |
15% |
14% |
|
Rick Perry |
12% |
18% |
37% |
41% |
- |
- |
- |
|
Ron Paul |
12% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
13% |
11% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
4% |
6% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
4% |
2% |
|
Jon Huntsman, Jr. |
4% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
|
Michele Bachmann |
3% |
4% |
7% |
9% |
25% |
28% |
34% |
|
Rick Santorum |
1% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
|
Gary Johnson |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
|
Other |
<1% |
2% |
2% |
8% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
|
Not sure |
7% |
6% |
8% |
2% |
9% |
10% |
8% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
The following questions were asked of all likely voters:
If Herman Cain is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
|
Response |
% |
|
Cain |
46% |
|
Obama |
44% |
|
Someone else |
6% |
|
I would not vote |
1% |
|
Not sure |
4% |
If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
|
Response |
% |
|
Obama |
41% |
|
Romney |
40% |
|
Someone else |
11% |
|
I would not vote |
2% |
|
Not sure |
7% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
If Rick Perry is the Republican nominee for President against Barack Obama, for whom would you vote?
|
Response |
% |
|
Obama |
45% |
|
Perry |
40% |
|
Someone else |
9% |
|
I would not vote |
2% |
|
Not sure |
4% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obamas job as president?
|
Obama Job Performance |
Oct 5 |
Sept 26 |
Sept 12 |
Sept 5 |
Aug 29 |
Aug 4 |
July 25 |
July 18 |
July 12 |
July 5 |
June 21 |
June 9 |
June 6 |
|
Disapprove |
59% |
57% |
58% |
61% |
60% |
58% |
54% |
57% |
58% |
58% |
56% |
56% |
53% |
|
Approve |
41% |
42% |
42% |
39% |
40% |
41% |
45% |
43% |
42% |
42% |
43% |
43% |
46% |
|
Not sure |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?
|
Response |
Oct 5 |
Sept 26 |
Sept 12 |
Sept 5 |
Aug 29 |
Aug 4 |
July 25 |
July 18 |
July 11 |
July 5 |
|
Time for someone new |
54% |
53% |
53% |
57% |
55% |
54% |
51% |
53% |
54% |
56% |
|
Obama deserves to be re-elected |
38% |
37% |
39% |
33% |
35% |
36% |
40% |
38% |
36% |
38% |
|
Not sure |
8% |
10% |
8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
6% |
Other results show little change on opinion toward the nations direction and approval of Congress.
- 72% say the nation is on the wrong track and 17% say the U.S. is headed in the right direction.
- Overall approval of Congress is 12%, while approval for Congressional Republicans is 28% and for Congressional Democrats 29%.
IBOPE Inteligência conducted an online survey of 1,581 voters. A sampling of IBOPE Inteligência International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.
IBOPE Inteligência International also conducted an online survey of 796 likely Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.
For more information, contact the Communications Dept--202-429-0022
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IBOPE Inteligência is a non-partisan, premier global public opinion polling and market research firm that offers timely, accurate results and in-depth analysis and insights. IBOPE Inteligência works with issue experts in a vast array of fields including healthcare, technology, finance, insurance, energy, agriculture, public affairs, and media who offer insightful data analysis and exceptional service to clients in countries throughout the world. IBOPE Inteligência experts analyze data and work with clients to develop and implement new strategies, and offer customized and attractive solutions to challenges our clients face. IBOPE Inteligência was formed in January 2010 following the acquisition of Zogby International by IBOPE Inteligencia of Brazil, a subsidiary of IBOPE Group.
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IBOPE Group is a Brazilian multinational company specializing in media, market and opinion research with offices in the United States and 14 Latin American countries. Since its founding 68 years ago, it has been providing a wide range of information and studies on media, public opinion, voting patterns, consumption habits, branding and market behavior.
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