IBOPE Zogby Poll: Perry Plummets to 18%; Trails Cain For Lead Among GOP Primary Voters
Obama's Overall Approval Steady at 42%
UTICA, NY--Rick Perry has tumbled by more than 20 percentage points over the past month among Republican presidential primary voters and is now second to Herman Cain, who leads the field with 28%.
Mitt Romney received little benefit from Perrys fall, garnering 17% of the vote for third place.
As for President Barack Obama, both his job approval (42%) and the percentage who believe he deserves re-election (37%) are little changed from recent polls, but he does seem to be winning back some supporters who have been disappointed in his job performance.
These results are from an IBOPE Zogby interactive poll conducted Sept. 23-26 of all likely voters and of likely Republican primary voters.
Announced GOP Candidates (GOP primary voters)
If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
|
Candidate |
Sept 26 |
Sept 12 |
Aug 29 |
July 25 |
July 11 |
June 30 |
June 21 |
|
Herman Cain |
28% |
12% |
8% |
18% |
16% |
15% |
15% |
|
Rick Perry |
18% |
37% |
41% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
Mitt Romney |
17% |
14% |
12% |
17% |
15% |
14% |
15% |
|
Ron Paul |
11% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
13% |
11% |
13% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
6% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
4% |
2% |
2% |
|
Jon Huntsman, Jr. |
5% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
|
Michele Bachmann |
4% |
7% |
9% |
25% |
28% |
34% |
24% |
|
Rick Santorum |
2% |
3% |
3% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
5% |
|
Gary Johnson |
1% |
1% |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
2% |
|
Fred Karger |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
0% |
0% |
|
Other |
2% |
2% |
8% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|
Not sure |
6% |
8% |
2% |
9% |
10% |
8% |
13% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
This poll was conducted after Perry's most recent subpar debate performance last Thursday, but the survey was still in the field when Cain won a Florida straw poll on Sunday. Cain was the top choice of only 8% a month ago.
Michele Bachmann continues her drop in our polling, falling from a first-place 34% on June 30 to just 4% now. While some other announced GOP candidates have had large fluctuations in their standing with party voters, since June 21 Romney has remained steadily between 12% and 17%.
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obamas job as president?
|
Obama Job Performance |
Sept 26 |
Sept 12 |
Sept 5 |
Aug 29 |
Aug 4 |
July 25 |
July 18 |
July 12 |
July 5 |
June 21 |
June 9 |
June 6 |
|
Disapprove |
57% |
58% |
61% |
60% |
58% |
54% |
57% |
58% |
58% |
56% |
56% |
53% |
|
Approve |
42% |
42% |
39% |
40% |
41% |
45% |
43% |
42% |
42% |
43% |
43% |
46% |
|
Not sure |
1% |
1% |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?
|
Response |
Sept 26 |
Sept 12 |
Sept 5 |
Aug 29 |
Aug 4 |
July 25 |
July 18 |
July 11 |
July 5 |
June 21 |
|
Time for someone new |
53% |
53% |
57% |
55% |
54% |
51% |
53% |
54% |
56% |
55% |
|
Obama deserves to be re-elected |
37% |
39% |
33% |
35% |
36% |
40% |
38% |
36% |
38% |
39% |
|
Not sure |
10% |
8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
6% |
7% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
In this survey, we repeated a question first asked on Aug. 29 of voters who approve of Obamas job performance to learn if their response was based more on loyalty to Obama or true satisfaction with his record.
Which of these statements comes closest to your feelings about President Obamas job approval?
Statement A: I am disappointed with President Obama, but I dont want to undermine him and give support to Republicans by saying I disapprove of his job performance.
Statement B: I am satisfied with President Obama, and that is my only consideration in saying I approve of his job performance.
|
Statement |
Sept 26 |
Aug 29 |
|
A: Disappointed |
27% |
34% |
|
B: Satisfied |
58% |
53% |
|
Neither |
15% |
13% |
|
Not sure |
1% |
1% |
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding
Our results may indicate Obamas jobs program and a more combative tone toward Republicans is beginning to shore up his support with the party base.
Other results show little change from two weeks ago on opinion toward the nations direction and approval of Congress.
- 72% say the nation is on the wrong track and 17% say the U.S. is headed in the right direction.
- Overall approval of Congress is 14%, while approval for Congressional Republicans is 30% and for Congressional Democrats 28%.
IBOPE Zogby International conducted an online survey of 2,077 voters. A sampling of IBOPE Zogby International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.
IBOPE Zogby International also conducted an online survey of 1,006 likely Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.
For more information, contact the Communications Dept 202-429-0022
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About IBOPE Group
IBOPE Group is a Brazilian multinational company specializing in media, market and opinion research with offices in the United States and 14 Latin American countries. Since its founding 68 years ago, it has been providing a wide range of information and studies on media, public opinion, voting patterns, consumption habits, branding and market behavior.
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