IBOPE Inteligência GOP Presidential Poll: Bachmann Continues to Lead Announced Field; Perry's Entry Would Put Him on Top
Romney Lags in Preference, But Still Seen Most Likely to Win
UTICA, NY - Michele Bachmann continues to lead the field of announced Presidential candidates among Republican primary voters, but Rick Perry would be the top choice if he entered the race.
Mitt Romney trails both Bachmann and Herman Cain among announced candidates and falls even further back when Perry and Chris Christie are included. However, he continues to be seen by GOP voters as most likely to be the nominee.
These results are from an IBOPE Inteligência interactive poll conducted from July 22-25.
Announced GOP Candidates Only (GOP primary voters)
If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
|
Candidate |
July 25 |
July 11 |
June 30 |
June 21 |
|
Michele Bachmann |
25% |
28% |
34% |
24% |
|
Herman Cain |
18% |
16% |
15% |
15% |
|
Mitt Romney |
17% |
15% |
14% |
15% |
|
Ron Paul |
11% |
13% |
11% |
13% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
7% |
4% |
4% |
6% |
|
Rick Santorum |
5% |
3% |
7% |
5% |
|
Jon Huntsman, Jr. |
3% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
1% |
4% |
2% |
2% |
|
Gary Johnson |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
2% |
|
Fred Karger |
1% |
<1% |
0% |
0% |
|
Charles "Buddy" Roemer |
<1% |
- |
- |
- |
|
Not sure |
9% |
10% |
8% |
13% |
|
Other |
3% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
Announced GOP Candidates Plus Christie, Perry & Palin (GOP primary voters)
If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
|
Candidate |
July 25 |
July 11 |
June 30 |
|
Rick Perry |
21% |
21% |
18% |
|
Chris Christie |
14% |
12% |
17% |
|
Michele Bachmann |
13% |
15% |
15% |
|
Herman Cain |
13% |
10% |
8% |
|
Ron Paul |
9% |
10% |
10% |
|
Mitt Romney |
9% |
8% |
8% |
|
Sarah Palin |
4% |
5% |
9% |
|
Jon Huntsman, Jr. |
3% |
4% |
3% |
|
Rick Santorum |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
2% |
1% |
1% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
1% |
2% |
1% |
|
Gary Johnson |
<1% |
1% |
<1% |
|
Fred Karger |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
Charles "Buddy" Roemer |
0% |
-- |
-- |
|
Other |
2% |
1% |
<1% |
|
Not sure |
7% |
8% |
6% |
We also asked Republican primary voters whom they would never vote for and whom they believe would win the GOP nomination.
Which of the following candidates would you never vote for? (May choose more than one.) (GOP primary voters)
|
Candidate |
July 25 |
|
Newt Gingrich |
42% |
|
Jon Huntsman, Jr. |
40% |
|
Ron Paul |
37% |
|
Fred Karger |
34% |
|
Charles "Buddy" Roemer |
32% |
|
Gary Johnson |
32% |
|
Mitt Romney |
29% |
|
Sarah Palin |
28% |
|
Rick Santorum |
24% |
|
Michele Bachmann |
21% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
18% |
|
Herman Cain |
16% |
|
Rick Perry |
16% |
|
Chris Christie |
12% |
|
Other |
6% |
|
Not sure |
16% |
Regardless of whom you intend to vote for, who do you think will get the nomination? (GOP primary voters)
|
Candidate |
July 25 |
|
Mitt Romney |
37% |
|
Rick Perry |
20% |
|
Michele Bachmann |
7% |
|
Ron Paul |
5% |
|
Chris Christie |
1% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4% |
|
Herman Cain |
2% |
|
Sarah Palin |
1% |
|
Rick Santorum |
<1% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
<1% |
|
Other |
1% |
|
Not sure |
22% |
IBOPE Inteligência conducted an online survey of 1,103 likely Republican primary voters. A sampling of IBOPE Inteligência's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, and education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.
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