IBOPE Inteligência Poll: Cain Passes Christie Among GOP Primary Voters; No One in GOP Field Leads Obama
42% say Obama deserves re-election
UTICA, NY - Herman Cain leads Chris Christie as the top choice of Republican primary voters in the race for the 2012 Presidential nomination. Among all voters, no one in a list of 13 possible GOP candidates leads President Barack Obama. However, less than half of voters (42%) say Obama deserves re-election.
The results of a new IBOPE Inteligência Interactive poll, conducted from May 20-23, show Cain, a businessman and radio talk show host who drew attention at the first party Presidential debate early this month, as the choice of 19% of GOP primary voters. Christie, the New Jersey Governor who led in our four previous polls, is second with 16%, followed by Mitt Romney in third with 11%.
Romney is now seen as a more acceptable candidate to Republican voters than he was in our interactive poll conducted from May 6-9. Then, 27% of GOP primary voters said they would never vote for Romney compared to just 9% who say so now. Romney remains the candidate GOP voters believe most likely to be the nominee with 37%, and no one else gets more than 6%.
Christie does best in a match-up with Obama, but trails, 45%-44%. Obama leads both Romney and Tim Pawlenty by 45%-40%. Obama is ahead of Cain, 46%-38%.
Republican Primary Voters
If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?|
Candidate |
GOP Primary Voters |
|
Herman Cain |
19% |
|
Chris Christie |
16% |
|
Mitt Romney |
11% |
|
Ron Paul |
9% |
|
Sarah Palin |
6% |
|
Michele Bachman |
5% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
4% |
|
Mitch Daniels |
4% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
3% |
|
Rick Santorum |
3% |
|
Fred Karger |
1% |
|
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
1% |
|
Gary Johnson |
<1% |
|
None of these |
6% |
|
Not sure |
12% |
Which of the following candidates would you never vote for?
|
Candidate |
GOP Primary Voters |
|
Chris Christie |
<1% |
|
Herman Cain |
1% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
1% |
|
Mitch Daniels |
1% |
|
Fred Karger |
2% |
|
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
2% |
|
Rick Santorum |
3% |
|
Gary Johnson |
4% |
|
Michele Bachman |
5% |
|
Mitt Romney |
9% |
|
Sarah Palin |
13% |
|
Ron Paul |
15% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
17% |
|
None of these |
11% |
|
Not sure |
17% |
Tea Party Voters
Cain edges Christie in GOP voter preference among primary voters who say they are more likely to vote for candidates endorsed by the Tea Party, 25%-18%.
Romney and Ron Paul get 9% from these Tea Party supporters, and Saran Palin is next at 8%. Eleven percent of these Tea Party supporters say they would never vote for Romney, but that is less than the 18% who say that about Paul and the 19% who rule out voting for Gingrich. These voters by far see Romney as the eventual nominee (39%).
Obama vs. GOP Field
If the election for President wereheld today, for whom would you vote?|
GOP Candidate |
Obama |
Opponent |
Someone else |
Not Sure |
|
Chris Christie |
45% |
44% |
7% |
5% |
|
Mitt Romney |
45% |
40% |
11% |
4% |
|
Tim Pawlenty |
45% |
40% |
9% |
6% |
|
Mitch Daniels |
44% |
38% |
10% |
9% |
|
Michele Bachman |
47% |
38% |
9% |
6% |
|
Herman Cain |
46% |
38% |
9% |
7% |
|
Ron Paul |
44% |
37% |
14% |
5% |
|
Rick Santorum |
47% |
36% |
10% |
6% |
|
Sarah Palin |
49% |
36% |
11% |
4% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
48% |
30% |
19% |
3% |
|
Jon Huntsman Jr. |
44% |
29% |
14% |
14% |
|
Gary Johnson |
45% |
28% |
14% |
13% |
|
Fred Karger |
45% |
24% |
15% |
17% |
Do you think President Obama deserves re-election or do you think it is time for someone new?
|
Response |
All voters |
Democrats |
Republicans |
Independents |
|
Obama deserves re-election |
42% |
78% |
6% |
35% |
|
It's time for someone new |
52% |
13% |
91% |
56% |
|
Not sure |
7% |
9% |
3% |
8% |
IBOPE Inteligência International conducted an online survey of 2096 likely voters from 5/20/11 to 5/23/11.
A sampling of IBOPE Inteligência's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.
IBOPE Inteligência conducted an online survey of 1169 likely Republican primary voters from 5/6/11 to 5/9/11.
A sampling of IBOPE Inteligência International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to party, age, race, religion and gender to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.
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IBOPE Inteligência is a non-partisan, premier global public opinion polling and market research firm that offers timely, accurate results and in-depth analysis and insights. IBOPE Inteligência works with issue experts in a vast array of fields including healthcare, technology, finance, insurance, energy, agriculture, public affairs, and media who offer insightful data analysis and exceptional service to clients in countries throughout the world. IBOPE Inteligência experts analyze data and work with clients to develop and implement new strategies, and offer customized and attractive solutions to challenges our clients face. IBOPE Inteligência was formed in January 2010 following the acquisition of Zogby International by IBOPE Inteligencia of Brazil, a subsidiary of IBOPE Group.
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About IBOPE Group
IBOPE Group is a Brazilian multinational company specializing in media, market and opinion research with offices in the United States and 14 Latin American countries. Since its founding 68 years ago, it has been providing a wide range of information and studies on media, public opinion, voting patterns, consumption habits, branding and market behavior.
For more information on IBOPE Group, please visit www.IBOPE.com.